Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.020924 0.022657 0.024466 0.026496 0.028711 0.031056 0.033730
2025-08-24 0.017602 0.020034 0.022711 0.025884 0.029547 0.033652 0.038611
2025-08-31 0.015578 0.018395 0.021623 0.025606 0.030405 0.036019 0.043111
2025-09-07 0.014121 0.017176 0.020792 0.025404 0.031157 0.038130 0.047272
2025-09-14 0.013001 0.016218 0.020132 0.025270 0.031873 0.040128 0.051306
2025-09-21 0.011995 0.015298 0.019414 0.024954 0.032269 0.041665 0.054763
2025-09-28 0.011312 0.014722 0.019067 0.025052 0.033151 0.043824 0.059110
2025-10-05 0.010645 0.014111 0.018618 0.024959 0.033735 0.045574 0.062961
2025-10-12 0.010130 0.013662 0.018342 0.025059 0.034555 0.047655 0.067357
2025-10-19 0.009663 0.013243 0.018072 0.025134 0.035322 0.049672 0.071751
2025-10-26 0.009185 0.012778 0.017705 0.025037 0.035814 0.051300 0.075639
2025-11-02 0.008784 0.012396 0.017426 0.025040 0.036435 0.053123 0.079901
2025-11-09 0.008271 0.011841 0.016895 0.024673 0.036533 0.054242 0.083266
2025-11-16 0.007776 0.011290 0.016340 0.024244 0.036513 0.055185 0.086433
2025-11-23 0.007377 0.010856 0.015933 0.024007 0.036764 0.056544 0.090331
2025-11-30 0.007024 0.010472 0.015577 0.023822 0.037072 0.057993 0.094449
2025-12-07 0.006714 0.010136 0.015274 0.023697 0.037459 0.059574 0.098867
2025-12-14 0.006386 0.009756 0.014881 0.023404 0.037547 0.060656 0.102482
2025-12-21 0.006172 0.009541 0.014734 0.023495 0.038265 0.062813 0.108094
2025-12-28 0.005932 0.009274 0.014489 0.023408 0.038673 0.064456 0.112882
2026-01-04 0.005746 0.009084 0.014358 0.023501 0.039384 0.066652 0.118801
2026-01-11 0.005567 0.008896 0.014220 0.023572 0.040056 0.068805 0.124770
2026-01-18 0.005367 0.008664 0.013996 0.023480 0.040432 0.070445 0.129869